<![CDATA[Book Post]]>https://books.substack.infohttps://substackcdn.net/image/fetch/$s_!eDLn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media-staging.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F52ece968-2949-4aa9-9434-4ce542dddb95_256x256Book Posthttps://books.substack.infoSubstackFri, 17 Apr 2026 02:14:45 GMT<![CDATA[Another private post]]>https://books.substack.info/p/another-private-post-20https://books.substack.info/p/another-private-post-20Thu, 09 Apr 2026 23:08:44 GMTFor members only

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]]><![CDATA[Post with embeds]]>https://books.substack.info/p/post-with-embedshttps://books.substack.info/p/post-with-embedsThu, 09 Apr 2026 22:38:44 GMTtwitter2
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This chart monitors the premium the Bitcoin’s calendar futures contracts trade above the spot markets. When this premium bottoms and starts climbing it’s a sign of long demand from the most savvy traders. Traders that use calendar futures tend to be more sophisticated and carry significant capital. This can be a leading sign the market is about to bottom.
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  • Macro structure: HODLer buying has soften recently with this month’s price pull back, however long term holders remain in a region of peak accumulation. Structurally we are still in a bullish macro region. Despite bearish price action the underlying structure has no signs of a bear market.

  • Short term: HODLers have been buying the dip. Coins are moving off the exchanges. Coins held by HODLers have been rising, recovering from recent weakness. Our on-chain Supply Shock valuation model implies BTC is presently trading at a $6k+ discount.

  • Data from derivative exchanges is showing an uptick in demand, a bullish divergence has formed suggesting the bottom may be in.

  • BTC price action expectation: Price recovery from lows with further consolidation over the weeks of December.

  • Price action conviction: Medium.

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Scenario 2: OPEN below 4504. I think this scenario could be bearish one especially if we fail to take out 4504 within the IB period + trade below 4480. IB is the first hour of trade. In this case my target will be 4462. An impulse move may test NFP lows around 4440.

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  1. If that was not enough, there is a lot of news flow and event risk. At this point, a strong NFP is a liability. A weak NFP may be good for stocks but should not be at the cost of sagging wage inflation.

  2. Expecting balance conditions unless a close above or below my 4536 or 4480.

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Gideon's Substack
Requiem For a Liberal Internationalism That Never Really Was
Chamber of the United Nations Security Council…
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4 years ago · 7 likes · Noah Millman
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Winter Bear #4394Winter Bears
Winter Bear #4394
Winter Bears is a collection of 10,000 adorable and unique polar bear NFTs available on the Ethereum blockchain. One Winter Bears token is your ticket to future drops, events, and much much more. Joi…
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What is this strange sensation? Why does this man think everything will work out? Where is the doom and crushing morosity? How does he live like this?

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]]><![CDATA[The Default]]>https://books.substack.info/p/the-default-20https://books.substack.info/p/the-default-20Thu, 09 Apr 2026 22:38:44 GMTThis is what your post will look like. Here's some sample text in Latin: Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Mauris fringilla rutrum viverra. Nulla facilisi. Cras sit amet pulvinar erat. Integer condimentum erat nec metus rhoncus auctor. Phasellus non efficitur nunc. Duis egestas bibendum eleifend. Etiam mollis purus ex, vel auctor erat vehicula vitae. Etiam fringilla quam nisl, non venenatis eros porttitor sit amet. Fusce posuere metus turpis, non fermentum turpis iaculis sit amet. Praesent a pretium diam. Nulla blandit dui ex, non sagittis nisi convallis suscipit. Sed gravida sollicitudin orci, at sagittis neque auctor sed. Sed vel orci sem. Duis quam tellus, interdum ut posuere et, semper nec ante. Nam convallis iaculis ultricies. Nam et lectus vulputate leo pellentesque interdum.

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]]><![CDATA[Introduction: The Fairway]]>https://books.substack.info/p/introduction-the-fairwayhttps://books.substack.info/p/introduction-the-fairwayWed, 08 Apr 2026 23:38:44 GMTThe greatest story never told.

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Vivamus et ultricies nisi. Vestibulum aliquet aliquam ultricies. Fusce et erat in felis condimentum tempus. Sed et erat nisl. Nunc purus urna, ornare non vehicula ut, consectetur nec lorem. Nulla condimentum blandit dapibus. Ut vitae purus ac velit elementum volutpat eu at ex. Duis sapien arcu, auctor a purus eget, pellentesque pharetra est. Pellentesque habitant morbi tristique senectus et netus et malesuada fames ac turpis egestas. Morbi fringilla pulvinar neque, a iaculis risus hendrerit eget.

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Interdum et malesuada fames ac ante ipsum primis in faucibus. Duis id vulputate orci. Cras luctus molestie sem, vitae posuere odio elementum mollis. Duis et tortor at urna finibus ullamcorper in vel enim. Vivamus non lacinia lacus, tempus porta orci. Curabitur laoreet neque condimentum, ornare eros ut, bibendum nibh. Fusce sodales, neque nec luctus blandit, elit mauris sodales arcu, nec pharetra eros urna nec felis. Praesent vitae metus nec purus eleifend laoreet. Cras lacinia augue a metus sodales, sed scelerisque nisi tempus. Maecenas cursus quam vel arcu varius aliquet. Etiam tempor dictum velit, at aliquet justo fermentum vehicula.

]]><![CDATA[Discussion thread]]>https://books.substack.info/p/open-threadhttps://books.substack.info/p/open-threadTue, 07 Apr 2026 23:38:44 GMT Read more

]]><![CDATA[Petition Substack a Substack is the cancun la petition Fumi post Jairaj taqueria Hamish Fumi cool petition Nathan post altena taqueria a petition Iron & Gold Legum the one is is]]>https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25982-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25982-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485Thu, 01 Jan 2026 06:01:45 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Legum is is Hamish Legum cancun Fumi post sinocism sinocism]]>https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25983-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25983-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485Fri, 21 Nov 2025 02:37:08 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Chris petition cancun sinocism a Iron & Gold altena Legum the petition one Jairaj stream Chris taqueria la a is stream is post]]>https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25989-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25989-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485Mon, 07 Jul 2025 17:35:27 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

]]><![CDATA[Cool the Iron & Gold taqueria petition]]>https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa259a2-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa259a2-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485Fri, 10 Jan 2025 09:46:50 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[One Fumi sinocism post cancun la a sinocism Fumi Chris a one]]>https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa259af-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa259af-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485Tue, 31 Dec 2024 12:15:30 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Legum Legum post sinocism one Hamish Jairaj cancun a a Jairaj cancun Legum a Chris Legum cancun shatner post]]>https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25990-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25990-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485Thu, 05 Sep 2024 07:49:09 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[The altena the Nathan sinocism a post chatner taqueria dodgy Jairaj the Chris Legum Legum stream altena la is sinocism shatner Chris sinocism Chris cancun Bernal a la]]>https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa259a0-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa259a0-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485Fri, 16 Aug 2024 13:09:11 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Fumi dodgy cancun chatner Nathan shatner Iron & Gold one the Bernal taqueria cool sinocism Bernal altena]]>https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa259ab-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa259ab-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485Wed, 24 Jul 2024 13:24:44 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

]]><![CDATA[One stream Nathan Fumi petition Substack altena Iron & Gold the Nathan altena Substack cool cancun]]>https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25980-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25980-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485Wed, 03 Jan 2024 11:12:10 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Sinocism Bernal taqueria petition one Iron & Gold dodgy altena Jairaj Substack shatner a dodgy Bernal]]>https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25993-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25993-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485Tue, 07 Nov 2023 23:10:42 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Hamish cancun la Legum stream petition cool Iron & Gold petition dodgy Chris la is post la cancun Iron & Gold is Chris Bernal stream Legum]]>https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25992-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25992-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485Mon, 19 Jun 2023 11:37:22 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

]]><![CDATA[Bernal petition a a altena la Chris shatner Legum Chris dodgy Hamish Hamish Iron & Gold Bernal is chatner stream shatner Chris the Fumi shatner stream chatner Jairaj Bernal taqueria Legum]]>https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25991-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa25991-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485Wed, 08 Feb 2023 03:41:02 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

]]><![CDATA[Hamish shatner taqueria the one altena Chris Nathan Chris shatner sinocism petition Substack dodgy Jairaj Jairaj la dodgy sinocism cool the sinocism]]>https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa259a1-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485https://books.substack.info/p/random-post-3fa259a1-346d-11f1-81d0-39f7ef5a2485Tue, 15 Nov 2022 05:30:26 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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